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Eritrean Opposition Faces an Imminent Ultimatum

Since its formation in Hawassa in November 2011, the Eritrean National Council for Democratic Change (ENCDC) has been in a coma with no signs of waking up, though not yet declared dead. Many frustrated members and supporters of the ENCDC have all but formally withdrawn their enthusiastic allegiance.

For the last six years, the ENCDC has been marred by conflicts. It carries existential wounds some of which are internally inflicted, while others external injuries. The endless infights and mistrust has relegated the ENCDC to irrelevance and dwarfed its stature to that of a minor player in Eritrean politics, particularly in Eritrean opposition activities.

During the same period, the ENCDC and its adversaries held countless meetings and seminars to resolve their crippling problems, but none of the meetings emerged even with a minor breakthrough. For the supporters of the ENCDC, the statuesque is unacceptable and they complain “the inaction has demoralized even those who were its ardent supporters.”

For the last two decades, most of the ENCDC member-entities have been stationed a thousand kilometers away from Eritrea in Addis Ababa, the Ethiopian capital city. Their presence in Ethiopia has always been vigorously opposed by a large segment of Eritreans who never subscribed to the goals of the opposition agenda. However, in recent years, ardent opposition elements all over the world are questioning whether operating from Ethiopia has benefited the opposition at all.

In addition, the Eritrean opposition forces have always been targets of a resilient onslaught by the Eritrean ruling party (PFDJ), which found the Ethiopian link a convenient attack tool to defame the opposition and alienate it from the public. However, many ardent opposition elements are having similar views insisting that the Ethiopian link has become a liability and a burden that the ENCDC must offload if it cannot make it work for its benefit.

Consultations and Ultimatums

During the last five months, consultation has been going on among several prominent opposition members in many countries to find a way to get out of the “vicious cycle in which the ENCDC finds itself in Ethiopia.”

Notably, many opposition elements accuse the Ethiopian handlers of heavy-handedness and unwarranted interference in the Eritrean opposition affairs. They claim that “they are more interested in their narrow future regional interests at the expense of the Eritrean cause.”

Ethiopia provides varying support to different Eritrean organizations, but most of the support it provides is token funds to cover sundry expenses and free office space and bearing the cost of the many meetings. An activist from England asked, “what good is an office if not a single tangible contribution to the struggle against the PFDJ cannot be presented?”

According to our sources, the consultations among the opposition members has resulted in “an agreement to give the ENCDC an ultimatum to immediately plan to hold the long-delayed second congress with whoever is willing to attend. He added, “if Ethiopia refuses to allow the convening of the Congress in its territories, they should pack and leave…and if the ENCDC cannot function outside Ethiopia, it should dissolve itself and let others fill the vacuum.”

However, most of the supporters of the ENCDC believe they “can rejuvenate the ENCDC provided its leaders become resolute and take action.” The consultations which included opposition members from Australia, Sweden, Germany, the Netherlands, The Middle East, Sudan, and Ethiopia has culminated in a commitment to raise funds for convening a congress should the leadership take a resolute decision.

So far, the ENCDC members organization has lost many active members and those who remain loyal seem to be so frustrated by the weak performance of the opposition forces and might withdraw their membership or look elsewhere for an alternative.

The Sana Forum

The Ethiopian handlers operate within the “Sana Forum” which was formed in 2004 based on agreements between the late Ethiopian Prime Minister Melles Zenawi, the late Yemen President Ali Abdullah Saleh, and the Sudanese president Omar Al Bashir to support the Eritrean opposition. But Eritrean opposition members say, “neither the countries that sponsored the Sana Forum nor the Eritrean opposition organization has moved forward in achieving the goals they set out to achieve.”

With the absence of Yemen and Sudan, only Ethiopia is left with the Sana Forum.

Related Reading:

ENCDC: Names of Assembly Members and Executive Office Heads (December 20, 2011)

Ethiopian Ultimatum, Eritrean Incompetence (March 29, 2017)

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  • Dongolo

    Selam Saleh Johar. I kindly draw reference to your 2018 statement ‘Ethiopia provides varying support to different Eritrean organizations, but most of the support it provides is token funds to cover sundry expenses and free office space and bearing the cost of the many meetings’. Also, to recall the STRATFOR Wikileaks cable regarding Awate funding.

    • Saleh Johar

      Look Dongola,
      PFDJ trolls create an sllegation, then they quote each other, then lazy intelligence outfits make an allegation based of PFDJ sources. Get over it. But if you can find anything, please collect it on our behalf and you get the usual PFDJ commission of 50%. Deal

      • Dongolo

        Selam Saleh Johar. Nice! But the words I quoted are yours to own and not mine. And, when I before tried to post the relevant STRATFOR Wikileaks link it was deleted

    • iSem

      Hi Dongolo:
      So what if Eritrean opposition was funded by Ethiopia? I whish they were fully funded and given tanks. So what Dongolo? Can you make some logical reason as to why this is wrong.
      Saleh, I remember when the late Milikias and Semere T escaped the butcher PFDJ, there was rumor that they escaped to Ethiopia, they were asked and they denied it saying, instead they came through Libya. And lair I think it was verified that they came through Ethiopia. I always said that there is nothing wrong if they went through Ethiopia when their country was shooting at them. So Dongolo, if the things you are saying and quoting Saleh as if the is smoking gun, it is all halal, kosher, even it is blessed thing, the god of justice and democracy was smiling and in the same token, Eritrean opposition now should not shy away, nor hide that they are in Tigray working with TDF to remove PFDJ and hopefully you guys that come here to sanitize the bloody hands of IA
      I am tired of it and the opposition should have guts to admits that, and let that cooperating with the devil to remove is halla.
      Dongolo, you are a master of triviality.

  • Nitricc

    Hi All; I think the opposition should join to the Agazians so, they can get the attention and help of Weyane. You know the Mezmur-Selam thing between Ethiopia and Eritrea?

    what is the agenda?

    “1. ኤርትራ ኣካል ኢትዮጵያ ኔራስ ጥልያን ቆሪሱ’ዩ ወሲድዋ። ወይ ድማ “ሃጸይ ሚኒሊክ መታን ‘ናይ ትግርኛ ተዛራቢ ህዝቢ’ ክዳኻመሎም ኢሎም ንኤርትራ ካብ ኣዲኣ ትግራይ ገሚዖም ንጥልያን ሂቦማ”

    2. ኤርትራ ኣካል ኢትዮጵያ ድኣምበር ግዝእቲ ወይ (colony) ኣይነበረትን፡፥ እኳ’ድኣ ሓለፋ ኔርዋ! እኒ ጀነራል ኩስቶን እኒ ዶክተር ኩስቶን ኤርትራዊ መብቆሎም ዘለዎም ክንሶም ኣብ ስልጣን’ዶ ኣይነብሩን? ስለ’ዚ ኤርትራውያን እንታይ ከፊእኩም? ዶክተር በረኸት ሃብተሰላሴ ከማን ነዛ ሕቶ’ዚኣ ‘ብርትዕቲ ስለዝኾነት የለኹላን!’ ኢሎም’ዮም መሊሶማ

    3. ህዝቢ ኤርትራ ናይ መንነት ቅልውላው ስለዘለዎ ሓንሳብ ሓበሻ ሓንሳብ ጥልያን ሓንሳብ ዓረብ ክኸውን ደልዩ ናብ ዘብሎ ጠፊኡዎ ተደናጊሩ የዕነይንይ ኣሎ’ሞ ንሕና የሕዋቱ ተጋሩ መንነቱ ከንነግሮ

    4. ህዝቢ ኤርትራ ረፈረንደም ከካይድ ከሎ ብዕጸ ፋርስ ደንዚዙን ዓይኑ ተዓሚቱን “ባርነት’ዶ ዋላስ ናጽነት?” ዝብል ኣደናጋሪ ሕቶ ተሓቲቱስ ብጌጋ 99.8% እወ ንናጽነት ኣድሚጹ ዝብሉን ተመሳሰልትን ኮይኖም ከመወሰኽታ ድማ፦

    1. ገድሊ ህዝቢ ኤርትራ ብዘይ ወያነና ኣብ ሳሓል ተዓኒዱ ምስተረፈ ኔሩ

    2. ሻዕብያ ዝጸሓፎ ታሪኽ ኩሉ ሓሶት’ዩ! ንኣብነት ትርጉም ደርፊ ኣውቶብርሃን ሰጊድ ተወልደ ረዳን የማነ ባርያን ካልኦትን ከምሓድሽ ክንነግረኩም ኢና’ሞ ጽን ኢልኩም ኣዳምጹ፡

    3. ህዝቢ ኤርትራ ናጽነቱ ስለዝረኸበ እንታይ’ዶ ረኺቡ’ዩ? ምስ ወላዲት ሃገሩ’ኳ ምሓሾ! ነቲ ዝተሰደኸ ኣየዕቁብናን’ዲና? ኣብ ዩኒቨርስቲ’ኸ ኣይምሃርናን’ዲና? ስለዚ ሓውና ህዝቢ ኤርትራ ተቛዳሲ ናይ’ዚ በጺሕናዮ ዘለና ‘ወያናይ ዲሞክራስን ዕብየትን’ ንክኽውንስ ምሳና እንተሓበረ ይሕሾ

    4. መዝሙር ሰላም ሕውነት ክንዝምር ኢና’ሞ ምሳና ዘምሩ!”

    • Haile S.

      ኣንታ Nitricc እንታይ ወሪዱካ
      ነዚ ትደግመልና ዘረባ ረኺብካ

      ዝተዘርበሎም ተቓወምቲ
      ኣንጻር ጽኑዕ መግዛእቲ

      እቶም ኣግኣዝያንቲ
      ናብ ቐደም መለስቲ

      እንታይ ኣራኸቦም
      እንታይ ኣወዳደሮም
      እቶም ቀዳሞት ንኽብሪ ሃገሮም
      እቶም ካልኦት ንሕስሪ ሃገሮም
      ኣይፋልካን ኣብ ሓደ ምጽምባሮም

      • Nitricc

        Hi Haile, I posted that after I listened to the next link. Do you agree with this guy’s analysis. I think he have good understanding about Eritrean people. The guy a professor in Chicago. Normally he is clam but this time he let it fly. lol

        • Haile S.

          Sorry, I started to listen, but had to stop it. I cannot understand message transmitted through such derogatory language. If you understand this tigrigna expression, that is exactly what you did: ውሓጥዮ እንተበኩዋስ ትጎስሞ።

          • Natom Habom

            selam haile
            I know it hurt but it s good to listen
            very important fact for understanding eritrea ,
            eritrean will never forget the damage woyane and opposition
            have done to destroy eritrea

          • iSem

            Hi Natatom:
            Eritrea will never forget the damage the woyane and opposition did”
            Can you flesh for us what was the damage that the entire collective Eri opposition did to damage Eri, please
            Also do care to look the existential damage the PFDJ is doing to Eritrea. Once you flesh the damage the opp did Eri I will be a gentleman and reciprocate by detailing the damage done by PFDJ and its supporters

  • Asmera

    Do you
    need Liberation again? It looks like the terms Liberation and slavery do not exist
    in Eritrean dictionary. Eritreans were the first class citizens in Ethiopia 26
    years ago and they believed that first class is equivalent of slavery. 26 years ago which is quarter
    of century, you are liberated. What you are looking for now… slavery again or