Thursday , January 27 2022
Home / Gedab News / Behind The News of The Capture of Humera

Behind The News of The Capture of Humera

A few days after the fall of Humera in Tigrai last November, Eritrean and Amhara region militia forces seized an arms cache in the town. According to our source, the forces didn’t search for too long to find the secret storage place, “they must have had prior knowledge of where the arms were hidden.”

The cache consisted of boxes of ammunition including AK47s and other automatic rifles numbering around 800 pieces. It belonged to an Eritrean opposition group with a camp in the Humera region for many years. There were also other Eritrean groups stationed in the same region.

Local authorities of Tigrai had denied several Eritrean opposition groups permission to carry out military operations by infiltrating into Eritrea. They remained inactive in their camps. However, over the years, a few groups who had the support and approval to develop and activate their military wings infiltrated into Eritrea a few times, but their operations remained  insignificant.

Eritrean opposition members accuse the TPLF of favoring groups whose goal is to set up a replica of the EPRDF system of government in Eritrea. However, an overwhelming number of Eritreans, including several major opposition organizations reject such an idea.

The Movement for the Liberation of Eritrean Kunama (DMLEK), and its leader Qernelios Esman, maintained close relations with the TPLF. The DMLK’s armed group which existed for about two-decades was engaged in several hit and run operation against PFDJ forces but didn’t develop to become a significant fighting force. There were also several groups that kept small inactive military wings of 10-100 combatants.

In the wake of the recent conflict in Tigrai, about thirty DMLK combatants fled to the Sudan where they are now living in a refugee camp. However, the whereabouts of the combatants of other groups is unknown and it is possible they could have melted away in the region.

On December 8, 2020, an Eritrean delegation headed by the foreign minister Osman Saleh and Yamane Gebreab, “advisor to Isaias Afwerki” delivered a message from President Isaias Afwerki to General Abdulfatah Al Burhan, president of the Sudanese sovereignty council. According to the official PFDJ government media, “The message and ensuing discussions focused on current developments in Ethiopia and their ramifications for regional peace and stability.”

Gedab News learned the discussions centered around the Eritrean government’s demand asking Sudan to hand them over the Eritreans who fled from Tigrai. However, Sudanese authorities rejected the demand saying the refugees are under the protection of the UNHCR not Sudan.

Meanwhile, news coming out of Eritrea say there is a presence of a few armed people who are roaming in the mountains around in the Gash region. Their identity is unknown and they “could be either Eritreans or Tigrayans.” It’s also unknown whether the armed men are regrouping, or moving in a coordinated manner, or each is on his own.

About Gedab News

Check Also

Eritrea: A Conveyer Belt Supplying Mercenaries

Eritrea has been a training ground for Sudanese opposition groups that finally made peace with …

  • Brhan

    Hello Awate,

    Eritrean gov’t delegation to the Sudan has become every month. Yesterday, the dictator send a message to the Sudanese leader. I think , the situation in Tigray is the core issue: Eritrean soldiers are stuck there as news are saying. Can Sudan let those soldiers return to Eritrea via the Sudan?

    • Kokhob Selam

      Dear Brhan,

      Welcome and happy new year..

      The Eritrean soldiers are stuck and maybe you are right.This crazy leader ship gone mad and he is confused.


      • Brhan

        Thank you and happy new year ዓቢ ሰብ!!

  • said

    Trump goodbye , hasta la vista. The Certain Certification by the US Congress of the Results of the US Presidential Elections

    As reported by Washington Post. Trump repeatedly asked Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger during an hourlong phone call Saturday to “find” 11,780 votes that would overturn the election in his favor. Raffensperger refused , Trump’s phone call asked recalculate the presidential election votes so that he would emerge as the winner.

    The text of Saturday’s phone conversation speaks for itself . “The people of Georgia are angry, the people in the country are angry,” Trump told Raffensperger, according to a recorded version of the phone call obtained by the media. “And there’s nothing wrong with saying, you know, um, that you’ve recalculated” the votes. “Well, Mr. President, the challenge that you have is, the data is wrong,” Raffensperger replied. Trump having made it abundantly clear that he would never accept the result of the election unless he won., Trump goodbye but hasta la vista

    It now seems certain that the Congressional Certification of the Results of the US Presidential Elections will comfortably pass I n a joint session of the houses of Congress on Wednesday, January 6 current. This, as President Trump is getting increasingly Unhinged.

    The Passage of the Certification of the Results of the Elections by the US Congress will pave the way for Joe Biden to be inaugurated on January 20 current, 16 days from now, as the New US President.

    The Certification by a joint session of the US Congress after-tomorrow of the Electoral College Certification of last December 14 that in turn was based on the Certification of the Results by the States last December 8 seems now a forgone conclusion.

    However, and despite 12 Republican Senators led by Presidential Aspirant Ted Cruz’s objection of the results of the elections, the Congress after a two-hours debate will vote as the Congress is expected to vote in support of the results of the elections as certified by the Electoral College. All needed is a simple majority in Congress that is much guaranteed by the Democrats in control of the House of Representatives and that the greater majority of the Republican Senators, no less than 30 Republican Senators in my estimate, will likely vote in support of the Results of the Elections.

    Interestingly, and as a matter of fact, and to counter the objecting 12 Republican Senators, some of the Republican Senators, no less than 7 in my opinion, are proven very vocal, quite outspoken in criticizing President Trump’s bizarre moves to contest the results of the elections. In this vein one can count Senator Mitt Romney of Utah; Senator Susan Collins of Maine; Senator Ben Sasse of Nebraska, proven the most outspoken on the issue; Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania.

    However, constitutionally, in all cases, once all states certify the results of the Election that termed “The Safety Harbor Provision” as happened last December 8, Congress is obligated – other than the hoopla of the unfounded allegations to electoral fraud contrived by certain Trump Republican enablers in congress – the US Congress is automatically obligated to certify the results of the elections.

    On a different issue, that of the Georgia US Senatorial runoff elections scheduled for tomorrow Tuesday, the polls show the Democratic candidates (Jon Ossof and Reverent Raphael Warnock) are in the lead according to the latest polls taken yesterday showing both Democratic candidates running 2% ahead of their Republican rivals, incumbent Senators David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler, respectively.

    Should both Democratic Candidates win the Senatorial elections in Georgia, the Democrats will enjoy equal representation of 50-50 against republicans in the US Senate with no clear majority to either party. This would be a great boon to Democrats who were disadvantaged 47-53 in favor of the Republicans in the Senate that will soon be ending its mandate comes January 20 next.

    In Conclusion, undoubtedly, a new era is in the offing for both the US and the World at large as an increasingly unhinged Donald Trump, rendered most dangerous, is finally cleared out of the White House. This, as the new Democratic Administration would soon be embarking on a very rough ride with enormous Domestic Challenges ahead and a Republican Legislators turning increasingly dogmatic and bellicose.

    Happy New Year

    • Simon Kaleab

      Selam Said,

      Who is excited that Trump is “not re-elected?

      The gangster regime of Iran, the Communist dictatorship of China, globalist corporations in search of cheap labour, raw materials and mass markets, those who profit from American involvement in foreign wars, corrupt career Democrat politicians, the fake news media, the big banks and the deep-State.

      Each time a member of the big media reports on someone referring to acts of fraud or even irregularities in the Nov. 3 presidential election, they describe them as “baseless claims” , “unfounded”, or “unproven.”

      Here is what we do know:

      Nevada: The Silver State rushed a universal vote-by-mail measure through the legislature in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The bill, known as AB 4, lacked safeguards to assure voter identity and was implemented without cleaning voter rolls of deceased voters, those who had moved, or who had become ineligible to vote.

      Attorney Jesse Binnall testified before the Senate Homeland Security Committee on Dec. 16 as to what resulted.

      He had proof of nearly 90,000 fraudulent or improper votes that were cast, including instances where:

      More than 42,000 people voted multiple times.
      At least 1,500 people listed as “dead” voted.
      More than 19,000 non-residents voted.
      In excess of 8,000 people cast mail-in votes from non-existent addresses.
      Over 15,000 votes were cast from commercial or vacant addresses.
      Nearly 4,000 non-citizens voted.
      Considering Biden took Nevada by 33,596 votes, these allegations are serious.

      Arizona: The Arizona Republican Party alleges more than 100,000 ballots might have been improperly cast in the Grand Canyon State, including some 28,000 duplicated ballots in Maricopa County alone.

      Arizona GOP party chairwoman Dr. Kelli Ward also addressed in one of her video reports the subject of “fake news” outlets, that tend to mischaracterize allegations of voter fraud.

      “We are trying to have integrity in our electoral process,” she said, adding: “We have every right to make legal challenges.”

      Again, only 10,457 votes separate Biden and President Donald Trump on Arizona, a 0.3% difference.

      Wisconsin: President Trump’s legal team sought to have some 221,000 ballots disqualified that were cast in the state’s two most heavily Democratic counties — Dane and Milwaukee.

      At issue were incomplete absentee ballot envelopes where clerks filled in missing information, as well as those that were issued without a proper request, and still others that were the subject of ballot harvesting.

      In a narrow 4-3 ruling, the Wisconsin Supreme Court rejected the challenge, claiming the campaign was “not entitled to the relief it seeks.”

      The campaign filed its petition for a writ of certiorari with the U.S. Supreme Court on Tuesday.

      Only 20,682 votes separate Trump and Biden in the Badger State, 0.61%.

      One can hardly say this is a “baseless” claim, and pure reason has many people suspicious.

      Biden underperformed Obama in 80% of Wisconsin counties but hugely outperformed in just five counties to win the state.

      Michigan: While the Trump campaign has made an issue of the voting systems and software used throughout the state, allegations of widespread fraud remain unproven.

      The Trump legal team has presented additional evidence of voter fraud and irregularities before the Michigan state Senate Oversight Committee on Dec. 1.

      In one instance, a “Guard the Vote” volunteer testified he went through 30,000 of the 172,000 Detroit absentee ballots — about 17%. Some 229 were dead voters and 2,660 listed invalid addresses.

      Finally, Republican poll watchers were denied access for proper ballot monitoring due to alleged COVID-19 concerns.

      Pennsylvania: Nothing about the Keystone State made sense.

      Like Detroit, Philadelphia election officials denied Republican poll watchers adequate access into counting rooms, requiring them to seek a court order.

      “Trump campaign staffers marched into the PA Convention Center with a court order giving them the right to stand 6 feet away from sorters, instead of the previously allotted 20 feet,” reported CBS3 Philly reporter Alecia Reid.

      Most recently, a group of 17 Republican state lawmakers released a blockbuster statement Monday, alleging 202,377 more votes were cast than there were voters who voted. State Rep. Frank Ryan, who has a background as a certified public accountant, led the investigation and released a statement.

      “These numbers just don’t add up, and the alleged certification of Pennsylvania’s presidential election results was absolutely premature, unconfirmed, and in error,” the statement said.

      Georgia: The biggest bombshell was a video that appears to depict news media and poll watchers being ushered out of the counting room in an Atlanta tabulation center.

      After all but a few workers left, suitcases of what appear to be ballots are removed from underneath a table and are run through machines.

      Georgia failed to use signature verification and other measures to certify mail-in ballots. Rejection rates — not allowing non-eligible mail-in ballots — plummeted in 2020 from the 2018 election.

      Other irregularities:

      In addition to outright claims of fraud, state and local officials in at least four states — Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia — used the pandemic to make last-minute changes to their state voting laws.

      The U.S. Constitution provides only each state legislature may set the time, place, and manner of elections.

      This prompted Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton to file a lawsuit against the four states with the United States Supreme Court for allegedly exploiting “the COVID-19 pandemic to justify ignoring federal and state election laws and unlawfully enacting last-minute changes, thus skewing the results of the 2020 General Election.”

      In a statement he said, “Trust in the integrity of our election processes is sacrosanct and binds our citizenry and the States in this union together. Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin destroyed that trust and compromised the security and integrity of the 2020 election.”

      Despite the fact 18 more states signed on to Texas’ petition, the Supreme Court dismissed the case, citing lack of standing. Only Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito dissented.

      Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, a student of history, compared the long list of anomalies to another election nearly 200 years in the past.

      “The more data comes out on vote anomalies that clearly are not legitimate the more it looks like 2020 may be the biggest presidential theft since Adams and Clay robbed Andrew Jackson in 1824,” Gingrich tweeted. “State legislatures should demand recounts.”

      • said

        Selam Simon,

        It will help if you put your own opinion and view and I am not going respond to you that you copy and pasted the full page text, you took from the site very least refer to site you copied

        The entire text you wrote ,you took from pro Trump website WJR under the headline tile: In 2020, Vote Fraud Claims Were Not ‘Baseless’
        You copy pasted the entire page starting (Each time a member of the big media reports on someone referring to acts of fraud or even irregularities in the Nov. 3 To End of page . Andrew Jackson in 1824,” Gingrich tweeted. “State legislatures should demand recounts.”) the text originally appeared Newsmax site , the Information you pasted is from ultra right wing and white supremacists propaganda site Newsmax. As you know. Newsmax, as part of an effort to build a Trump-branded alternative to Fox News,

    • said

      Selam Simon,

      It will help if you put your own opinion and view and I am not going respond to you that you copy and pasted the full page text, you took from the site very least refer to site you copied

      The entire text you wrote ,you took from pro Trump website WJR under the head tile: In 2020, Vote Fraud Claims Were Not ‘Baseless’
      You copy pasted the entire page starting (Each time a member of the big media reports on someone referring to acts of fraud or even irregularities in the Nov. 3 To End of page . Andrew Jackson in 1824,” Gingrich tweeted. “State legislatures should demand recounts.”) the text originally appeared Newsmax site , the Information you pasted is from ultra right wing and white supremacists propaganda site Newsmax. As you know. Newsmax, as part of an effort to build a Trump-branded alternative to Fox News,

      • Simon Kaleab

        Selam Said,

        My opinion is in the first five lines. Deal with it!

        Newsmax is not “White Supremacist”; show me one article that is.

        I have been to the USA and Europe since the 70s, probably long before you left your village or town in Eritrea or Ethiopia. At that time, there’s was no jargon of political correctness or diversity.

        I have seen racism in all its forms, again, probably more than you have, at school, University, at work, and on the streets. I can recognise racism, when I see it, from miles away. So, spare your efforts from false-preaching about “White Supremacism” when it is not there. Your false claims will only make me laugh.

        • said

          Selam Simon
          if you believe that “White Supremacism” when it is not there. me false claims will only make you. laugh .Then I have nothing to proof to you.
          I am not sure what I am suppose to tell, leaving the personal issue aside, which I am not interested to get into.
          Trump continues to deny his loss . the fact remain on January 20, when Biden is sworn in as the 46th President. Yesterday as above I referred to the call, Trump threatened Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensberger in an attempt to have him “find” the votes needed to overturn the will of the voters.
          Republican Raffensperger responded: “Well, Mr. President, the challenge that you have is, the data you have is wrong.” To be clear Trump lost decisively, despite his and his supporters’ many desperate efforts to overturn the result. Trump urged fellow Republican Brad Raffensperger to “find” enough votes to overturn his defeat in an extraordinary one-hour phone call Saturday That is a fact , as reported in all the media widely including Fox.

          No court has found substantial fraud or miscounts in any of the 60 lawsuits Trump and his allies have brought before them. Eighty-eight state and federal judges, appointed by members of both parties, came to those decisions. May be you do not like to know .According to a New York Time analysis, Trump’s allies did not even formally allege fraud in more than two-thirds of their cases. If you are one of many tens of millions of Americans whose identities and aspirations blindly and faithfully are wrapped up in Trumpism good luck to you

          Again if you need more proof .As reported by major media .MR Chris Krebs, who was appointed by Trump to head up Homeland Security’s Security Agency, tweeted that “59 election security experts all agree, ‘in every case of which we are aware, these claims have been unsubstantiated or are technically incoherent.” After that tweet, Trump fired him.
          But if you believe in conspiracy theory and an proven election fraud. Trump claiming that he won by over 7 million votes.

          It doesn’t matter to me if Republican or Democrat in the White House. I don’t follow any particular press right or left or in middle as truth conniver ,I read independent media and journalistic investigations into the inner workings of power , I am against racial injustice and against Chinese totalitarianism, I am for kind of change that will make people lives much better for all the people , for a decent, life-affirming society , today In US many millions go hungry 22 million Americans have lost their jobs. and a deadly pandemic that has killed more than 345,000 Americans.”, soaring wealth for the very few , I read daily major newspaper ,like of corporate media the New York Times , the Guardian, Der Spiegel, Le Monde and alternative website, I ma not easily swayed by the most bizarre stories, put by Neoliberalism corporate media, right-wing propaganda and demagoguery. Full of bigotries and cruelties , controlled by Wall Street movers and shakers, elite big-business, Trump disenfranchises minorities and tolerates racial hatred and anti-immigrant sentiment was his motto . Trump has supported dictators and autocrats abroad, I am not expecting to much from the incoming Biden-Harris administration. You can succumb to ignoring the facts and replacing it with fraud elections.

          • Simon Kaleab

            Selam Said,

            Can you get me a single article that is “White Supremacist” from Newsmax?

          • said

            Hi Simon
            First when you copied the entire text ,you should have the integrity and respect, to mention the source, Newsmax. copy rights reserved, you ignored.
            Second by telling me (false-preaching about “White Supremacism” when it is not there.) I guess for you Ku Klux Klan and Proud Boys, and like, David Duke, Stefan Molyneux and Richard Spencer,and millions like them , your understanding ,they are not white supremacist, they are just promoting compassion and equality among all race .they are not against anti-sematic and racism.
            Media bias factcheck report .Newsmax extreme bias, consistent promotion of propaganda/conspiracies, poor or no sourcing to credible information, a complete lack of transparency and/or is fake news. Fake News is the deliberate attempt to publish hoaxes and/or disinformation
            It can’t be more clear that Trump did not condemn white supremacists, telling the Proud Boys to “stand back and stand by,” during debate
            Trump since his election loss, the romance between him and Fox News has appeared to be souring. He urged his supporters to turn to One America News Network (OANN), a far-right media outlet. founded by rightwing Robert Herring, QANN PROUDCE baseless conspiracy theories. They gave credence to every signature Trumpist falsehood ,as reported that the virus was being employed in a “globalist conspiracy” involving George Soros, Hillary , and the Chinese Communist party to institute global population control. conspiracy theories and falsehoods were taken seriously by the OANN audience, it deflect blame from Trump for the mismanagement of the pandemic. rightwing media Newsmax

            You are entitled to get your info from far right media like Breitbart News Network commonly known and as reported by Wikipedia, Breitbart .Its journalists are widely considered to be ideologically driven, and some of its content has been called misogynistic, xenophobic, and racist by liberals and many traditional conservatives alike. The site has published a number of conspiracy theories and intentionally misleading stories

            I told you in my last time respond ,I am for Sanders and Warren progressive group. America growing resentment of the 1 percent, and another America is being turned into a coast-to-coast soup line and millions of them support Trump and he done nothing for them? and he lowered and cut tax for super rich .

          • Simon Kaleab

            Selam Said,

            I have faced all types of racism and discrimination long before you left your village or town in Eritrea or Ethiopia. I know them when I see them better than you do.

            Now, stop your diversionary screaming and show me one article from Newsmax that is “White Supremacist”. How difficult is this for you?

          • Zsolt Káldy
          • Steve_Smith

            thank you very much

  • Amanuel Hidrat

    Selam all,

    Correction of mistaken identity: Saay did communicate and told me, that the author of the video is not him. I thought it was his voice, but he isn’t. I have apologized to him in our private communication, and am extending the same apology to my readers – as a result I have edited my comment,


    • iSem

      Hi Emma, Ismail and the author of the YouTube video regarding the transition
      To wit, it is a good attempt at analysis with data driven approach. But there are these fallacies in the video:
      The desire to differentiate the power of IA during the struggle from now is common and jarring for many of us. The picture of the politic bureau of EPLF is depicted to tell us that, if IA was incapacitated during the armed struggle, nothing would have happened and that anyone could have replaced him and the organization would march to deliver the day May 24. Fals! IA had the same unfettered power as he has now and the other members were not collaborating with each other in the filed. Actually many of them did not see each other eye to eye. Most notable Petros and Haile D. Do not take my word for this: Haile’s brother Sengal has said that during the G15 discussions Petros and Haile travelled to Masswa and they discussed for hours and they narrowed their differences and got closer, and collaborated to sign the G15 documents that landed them in Ela-Ero. So if IA was incapacitated the other members would not have collaborated with each other because they would not know a lot of things like where the money was coming from. Again do not take my word for this. Petros told Dan Connel that here was money coming and we did not know where it came from but we used it. So, dear author of this video, nice try but there is no difference between EPLF and PFDJ. Mesfin Hagos also, in responding to the pressing of the Eritrean journalist in Australia said that IA floated the idea of creating joint government with the TPLF on the eve of May 24 and in the presence of many politic bureau members and none of them raised their opposition, not even a whimper to such blatant upfront to singular goal of the Eritrea cause. A telling anecdote of the lack of collaboration even in the struggle.

      Ok, also what is peaceful power transition? Let say by magic, like what Peteros and Haile did those close to the power some how narrow their differences and collaborate and there is peaceful transition of power to the next tyrant, this is possible for self preservation there may be peaceful transition but peaceful transfer of power does not mean transfere to rule of law. If power is transferred to the next brutal person, then we are in the same boat and we should not gloat if the busybodies around IA anoint the next tyrant. There will be silent blood shed
      The Dergi to EPLF transfer of power did not lead to the massacre of citizens in Asmara as it was feared but it was never peaceful. Give me a break
      Also the so called honey money period was only “honey” for certain people but by in large Eritreans never experienced the peaceful years, it was silent massacre without fanfare, why? because EPLF’s MO is different Dergi’s
      A friend told that he has lived through tithe Dergi war, the Woyane war, the Yemen war, Djibouti war and now the war in Tigray, that is too much in one life time, he said. Now extend that to this: a child whose name is Yohanna or Awet or SeAre, who was born in May 1991 has witnessed his parents suffer or older sibling killed in the 1998 war as an 8-year-old, now he maybe fighting in this war.
      Think about it, the peaceful transition of power is useless if it does not translate to rule of law, so in your sequel nuance that.
      Sudan will be tested in 2022 if they transition to rule of law and then if they can keep that. After Numeri was deposed, Gen. Suwar Al-Dahab lead a transitional government with a civilian PM, a MD, Dr. Jazzuli Defaallah but the Sudanese could not keep the multi-party system that came after it. They are doing it again but in a year we will see. From what is going on, it looks like Sudan will go the way of Egypt, a strong military that has its own investment and that does the bidding of the west and Israek to feed its people, in hopes of quelling rebellion

      • saay7

        Hey iSem:

        Oh man: you came fully armed 🙂 From his voice, and his pronunciation of Eritrean names and places, it’s clear that he is a westernized Eritrean or what a cruel friend calls “XaAdu Ertrawian” so by that measure he did extraordinary well by doing to transitional politics what the Canadian Ethiopian did to quantum tunneling.

        Don’t give me some reason to share the video. You know I will.


        • መሃንድስ-ምዕባለ

          I couldn’t resist from googling the person and what a girl!
          No more tuition issue too 🙂

          • መሃንድስ-ምዕባለ

            It is a badge of honor to receive a down vote from the legend! It is almost as rare of Astatine. I hope this is not by mistake 🙂

        • iSem

          Hi Sal
          Fully armed? Eritrawi eye ember atta..

          ab mintayyu hailu mis beluni, ab atswaru eyleyom messiluni
          messiluni aykonen haqey eye ner
          now go break that himbasha haha

      • Berhe Y

        Hi iSem,

        Happy New Year.

        What’s your point?

        Yes we have it bad in Eritrea for the past 20 years or 30 years…but it doesn’t mean worst things wouldn’t happen tomorrow if PFDJ / IA gone.

        If for example a civil war rages, just like what happened in Somalia after Said Barre, or what is happening in Yemen today, or in Libya, one can make an argument the transition is worst (in relative terms) compared to what followed. The transition in Eritrea from Derg to EPLF was (peaceful in relative terms).

        You can go all philosophical if the current PFDJ is one and the same as EPLF of 1991.

        If IA died in 1991, Eritrea would not have a vacuum (compared to today) and the transition would have happened anyway. More than those in the picture, there was those in the army and the unity of the people etc.

        If I am not mistaken the whole point of the video is, Isayas is 75 years old and sooner or later, he will be gone. What is that we need to do now to prepare for that?

        And I think it would be helpful if you can focus on what the message of the video is and what would be the best scenario.


      • Ismail AA

        Selam iSem,

        Happy New Year.

        In retrospect, and in the back drop of the events you had cited, many of the points you raised make sense. The beginning, the formative and last phases of a politico-socially organized system may not be the same in potency and coherence. A dictatorial system that more often not becomes dominated by one (let me borrow Max Weber’s specification of power and control) charismatic person usually pass through phases as saay graphically showed.

        So, having said that, thus, my take of the analysis is that it is future oriented, regardless of how things developed and reached what we see today. Under the circumstances, the situation being what it is now – diaspora and home fronts – what can Eritreans do between now and the inevitable demise of the despot so that they would be on reasonable ground that can save them the fate of other people who had been in similar conditions?

    • Ismail AA

      Selam Aman and all,

      Thank you for setting the record straight. The important thing here is the stuff was useful to talk about. I would dare and assume that if Saay would have been the author, he would not have much differed save the familiar Saleh Younis flavor in diction and style. My point here the ascent and descent of an overzealous person’s for power and domination has a kind of phases similar to what the analysis has provided. So, Eritreans should really engage themselves in meaningful debate about all case scenarios the eve and aftermath of the life of the dictatorship may bring.

  • Amanuel Hidrat

    Selam all,

    Below is a link explaining graphically the history of transitional governments after the first tyrant of any given nation, has passed away, and the the need of preparation to our realities when Issayas, who is gasping in his last breathing. Who can do this analysis other than our own Saay? Enjoy his presentation on the second day of this new year, 2021.

    • Ismail AA

      Selam Aman and Saay,

      Aman, thank you for the link; saay thank you for this wonderful piece of work.

      Actually, this is an overdue warning to all Eritreans with stake in peaceful and sustainable in post dictatorship transition period. For all peoples in unlucky nations that go through life under despots and despotism, the aftermath can turn to be more costly than the era of absolutism itself. Under normal conditions, there can be minimum chance some succession mechanisms would be in place regardless of quality and maturity. But for cases like ours, and as saay’s analysis clearly indicated, even faint trace of what is needed does not exist. Like in some similar cases (Egypt), any foreseeable role of the army – an organized entity with command and control, is absent. Thus, the worrisome and difficult question before Eritreans, and those with interest in peace and stability in the region, is what should be done!!?. So, I understood (please correct me if that is not the intention) saay wanted to warn about, and elucidate, is how Eritrea’s politically and socially enlightened sections of our people would do in the last quarter of the despots life, as the the analysis chart has elaborated.

      To add a point, moreover, I think saay had taken note. or might have been motivated by a suggestion one of the forumers had suggested some days back, a (had upvoted), and which underscored that time has come the space of this forum should be opened to focus on the home front issues. Therefore, this excellent contribution from saay provided as link is pertinently useful threshold material to discuss the contents case by case and point by point.

      With many thanks.

      • Simon Kaleab

        Selam Ismail,

        The last quarter?

        The last one tenth, more likely.